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of sandy is a stark reminder of just how vulnerable our critical infrastructure is. as this crucial backbone is rethought and rebuilt, cramer looks at one stock that seems to be in a powerful position. could it recharge your portfolio? and later -- >> house of pleasure. >> pending home sales rose to a five-year high today. which stock should you move into, as the foundation for growth and housing becomes more secure? tonight, it's an open house for three potential plays on a real estate rebound. which one should you put an offer out on? >>> plus best medicine? health care trust of america leases over 12 million square feet of medical space nationwide. could their hefty dividend help your portfolio stay healthy? cramer gives his prognosis in an exclusive with its ceo just ahead. all coming up on "mad money." >>> now that we've had a month to reflect on hurricane sandy, one thing is very clear. our nation needs a new power grid. you know that and i know that. i call this storm a wake-up call to government officials and the utilities they regulate all over this country to finally start
" will be right back. >>> coming up -- power up? >> the devastation left in the wake of sandy is a stark reminder of just how vulnerable or critical infrastructure is. as the crucial backbone is rethought and rebuilt, cramer looks at one stock that seems to be in a powerful position. could it recharge your portfolio? >>> later -- >> house of pleasure. >>> pending home sales rose to a five-year high today. which stock should you move into, as the foundation in growth and housing becomes more secure? tonight, it's an open house for three potential plays on a resteal rebound. which one should you put an offer out on? >>> plus best medicine? health care trust of america leases over 12 million feet of medical space nationwide. could their hefty dividend help your portfolio stay healthy? cramer gives his prognosis in an exclusive with its ceo just ahead. >>> all coming up on "mad money." [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- you can stay in and share something... ♪ ♪ ...or you can get out there with your friends and actually share something. ♪ the lexus december to remember sales event is
on november comps. gap, macy's, target, all disappointing. is it all due to sandy and what does it mean for the holidays. >> tiffany is not a statement on lucksy, but rather company specific. >> quite near meets with the president today. . >> and we have another upgrade for research in motion. this time at goldman-sachs saying the blackberry 10 will not only beat expectations but also put the company in the black by fiscal '14. >> target, macy's and kohl's reporting unexpected declines. number of retailers blaming sandy for the lackluster results, david and jim. they say the second half of the month wasn't so bad, but still a lot of white knuckles as somebody said about the holidays. >> i think that one of the untold stories may still be exactly how bad sandy was. sandy is going to turn out to be a $100 billion storm. but i think it's a shutdown. it was the shutdown of a major part of the infrastructure of the nation. i'm going to go with the retailers who blame sandy. i'm going to take them at face value. >> so macy's they say record setting volume when it comes to thanksgiving, but th
noise in this report. early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,000. the consensus is 85 to 90,000. we're looking at half. i understand that, you know, superstorm san difs a horrible event, and i am sure it's going to take some jobs out, but it's going to also be a bit of an excusetrending well. i'll give you an example. wells fargo gallup does a small survey. on hiring, small businesses dropped to the lowest level of opt miimism in four years. it doesn't matter what ben bernanke does. i think his programs have long since not really helped the employment side, but the fiscal cliff is doing obvious damage. that's going to make what everybody knows is coming. we ran out of two years to sell. they're going to go from a twist to outright purchases. it's fully built into the market, but it isn't going to help. the fiscal cliff is going to do more damage to the psyche of job creation than anything
some big sales but some of it was because of super storm sandy. our phil lebeau is behind t wheel in chicago. >> we knew this would be a better than expected november and look at these numbers. generally speaking with a few exceptions, all of the automakers reported better than expected results last month. gm being one of the exceptions, being just a little bit below expectations. what did we see last month? the sales pace is going to come in probably about 15.2 million, first time over 15 million since early '08. we talked about sandy helping sales. there was also the economy. ford talked about that during the conference call today. ford raised its q1 production by 11% to 750,000 vehicles. compare that to the story of general motors. this worries people from today's auto sales results. gm warning it may cut truck production due to inventory build-up. they're at 139-day supplies of pick-up trucks. some of that is because they built up earlier this year for transition into a new truck. they've been targeting 80 to 85 days truck production. 139 days concerns a number of people. one
as adp misses estimates. the blame goes to superstorm sandy. goldman says the party is officially over for gold. >> starbucks at an investors conference will add 1,500 stores in the u.s. over the next five years. wait until you hear what they said about china. >> a big day in media. pandora ceo joins us live later this morning as the stock fell nearly 20% on weak guidance and netflix signs a big exclusive with disney. how much are they having to pay up for that? >>> let's deal with this big deal. as i've been telling you we'll see a lot of big deals -- i was wrong. here we are. freeport mcmoran buying not one but two companies. the combined price if you add it all together gets close to $20 billion. that does include debt. let's go through some of the details. it's somewhat complex. let's start with bigger of the two deals. freeport's purchase of plains. approximately $6.9 billion in total now. it's a cash and stock deal. .6531 shares and 39 bucks a share in cash. that adds up to $50 a share. that's a fairly significant premium when we look at where pxp, that being the ticker symbol in
. >> you have a combination of 11 year old age of autos, destruction of -- by the way, sandy was an auto destroyer. loss of life. horrible. terrible. it also took out many more cars than people realize. you have to pump overtime to be meet the demand. >> we're still adding up sandy and figuring that out. we're far from figuring that out. hundreds of thousands of automobiles. where are we? 15 plus at the end? >> it's possible. 15. it puts people to work in the country. they don't just add in mexico. mexico is booming. fabulous moment for mexico. they will add in this country too. >> there's talk that their share of the market in the northeast, the big three, is not as high as it is in the rest of the country. we live in part of the country where incomes are higher. you may see better numbers out of bmws and mercedes. >> i don't know the percentage that's brought into the new jersey, new york area, the ones that you always see when you go over a bridge and you look down and this is new york -- i don't mean to be too centric. the foreign cars have to replenish quickly. american cars have to
sandy and anxiety over the fiscal cliff affecting job growth. adp showing the private sector created 115,000 positions last month. the expectation was about 125,000. it comes ahead of friday's key employment report and to talk about that and more, our senior economics reporter steve leisman joins us from washington. steve, we'll talk about your interview with secretary geithner in a moment but let's talk about those economic numbers. what about today's, what about friday's? >> before i get to the adp number, i have new information i've been able to report on the way down here from new york. that is, be prepared on friday for potentially, especially in the household survey that creates the unemployment number. be prepared for potentially big sandy effects. let me tell you why. we had an early thanksgiving this year. 11/22. the 22nd of the month. what happens on those kind of years is that the bls moves back the survey week from the 12th which is the normal survey week in this case, to the 5th. what was the fifth? it was the week that really the worst effects of sandy in terms of people no
that to hurricane sandy? >> i think hurricane sandy had an impact in the first week, ten days in the northeast. when you speak to kohl's they were weak across the country. you could say it's part of the election results. i think there are just issues that are there. i think it was just disappointing. fw again, it's a long holiday season. the hope is, and hope and prayer is you're going to have a better december. i think some of them will. what you want to look at, even though the department stores were all negative today, a lot of the apparel retailers were positive. 5%, 10%. that's a positive sign. >> quick comment on tiffany. huge miss. stock's a mess. is this company specific or is it luxury that we need to watch out for? >> i think it's, "a," it's company specific. i think it's luxury you want to watch. if any consumer is watching this fiscal cliff, it's really the luxury customers. it's not the american eagle customers. the american eagle customers think fiscal cliff is really a rock climbing event. >> steve, good to have you on the show as always. >> thanks a lot. >> murph, what do you do with
because of sandy, shut-in, buy. how about google? google got crushed after reported disappointing quarter. the culprit? people switching from desktop to mobile. as google makes less money on mobile advertisers. nevertheless, google has been coming back as the company is still the sultan of search, a business still growing in high teens. we've seen how quickly facebook was able to adapt to the new mobile advertising environment, once google has seen that new rocketship, i see no reason why google should be any different. especially since google owns android. they need to figure out how to monetize it better. something the company is doing by releasing its own line of smartphones and tablets. google is sold out until after christmas. of the growth stocks, i got to admit i like google less than i did before the bad quarter if you're trying to figure out which of these stocks worries me the most, it's google, it's become a show-me situation. how about visa and master cad? both up decently since i recommended them in october. these are both plays in the worldwide switch from paper currency to
points. at the low of the day we were down 56. >> we're going to start hearing the impact of sandy as we approach the holiday shopping season. sandy stimulated sales of new cars last month. see which automaker drove away with bigger gains, ford or gm. >> then pain at the pump. our next guest is warning a new ethanol fuel blend that not only costs more but adds to the cost of food could damage your car and void your warranty. really? you're going to want to hear this coming up. >>> and banks be aware. a third of americans would rather get a mortgage from walmart than a bank, even though walmart doesn't offer them, at least not yet. we'll hear from somebody saying offering home loans would be a boone for walmart stocks. [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- you can stay in and share something... ♪ ♪ ...or you can get out there with your friends and actually share something. ♪ the lexus december to remember sales event is on, offering some of our best values of the year. this is the pursuit of perfection. offering some of our best values of the year. when you take a closer loo
hurricane sandy will cost it over $1 billion, but will the impact on the fiscal cliff be even worse? the head of allstate is with me sitting down for a cnbc exclusive coming up in a few minutes. don't miss it. back in a moment. [ male announc] at scottrade, you won't just find us online, you'll also find us in person, with dedicated support teams at over 500 branches nationwide. so when you call or visit, you can ask for a name you know. because personal service starts with a real person. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. our support teams are nearby, ready to help. it's no wonder so many investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade. it's no wonder so many investors are saying... when you take a closer look... the best schools in the world... see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... they can inspire our students. let's sol
the auto market is for 11 years now and we have been sweet on ford domestically. before sandy. where are we internationally? europe. what are some of the other key area, though? i think latin america, though. i think it's coming back. asia already turned. here's the new piece of data. i think europe could be stablized. ford is the one to watch. you get that thing at 11 or blow. i'm out blessing it. haven't done that in a while. in europe i'm thinking that i'm sanguine. excited about ford. we have ample evidence today that i'm right. affordability is skyrocketing. the rates remained too low. homes down sharply. and pricing is moving up in california, nevada, arizona all things we learned from the luxury home builder toll today. oh, that's fine. they leave out the most important fact that i hadn't heard from anybody, let alone toll brothers before. demographic play, how the company's chairman talked how demographics are going to take over. household formation is unnatural but because of the great recession. now at least it's picking up. there should are several new home buyers out there becau
superstorm sandy. find out at 8:30 a.m. eastern. and cut! very good. o geico's customer satisfaction is quite real though. this computer-animated coffee tastes dreadful. geico. 15 minutes could save you 15 % or more on car insurance. someone get me a latte will ya, please? >>> welcome back to "squawk box" everyone. the futures right now are at this point right around the flat line. we had seen the dow futures up by 15 points or so, it's come back down but probably a lot of people waiting to see what happens in washington because it's been driving trading for several weeks. >>> honda is expecting within two years it will export more vehicles than it imports from japan. the company says the factories will take on a larger role in global product development at that point. >>> all right, i've been wanting to ask larry some specific questions and i'm going to do it now because actually some of the stuff you talk about doug oberhelm, you teach economics, you're an economic sage so the mantra and we heard it again that if we could get rid of the, which is hard, but is the obama's administration resi
.m., expected to drop 15,000 as we continue to work through hurricane sandy can disrupgss. gdp growth expected to be revised higher. and 10:00, october pending home sales. and for earnings, kroger, tiffany, barnes & noble. now, the british are taking chicago by storm. we'll take you to the windy city next for the unveiling of burberry's new flagship store. >>> global 45r kets higher. uk see as sharp drop in lending to the real economy. and the search for the lucky power ball winners is on. two tickets match the record $580 million drawing. iberia labor unions have confirmed they'll call a six day strike in december. it will start december 14th and last through december 21st. this comes amid the airline saying it will slash about a quarter of the spanish airlines workforce and cut capacity as part of a restructuring plan. air freight traffic slowed to 3.8% year on year growth and just under 2% month on month growth for the month of october. passenger air traffic was up 3.2% this october, but it did actually decline in october by 0.2%. so a cautionary sign there for global demand. moving on now,
them some money. still to come, we'll get behind the wheel of hurricane sandy may have boosted the bottom line of automakers last month as americans replaced cars and trucks lost to the storm. we'll go inside the figures with the chief economist from the national automobile dealers association. i always wait until the last minute. can i still ship a gift in time for christmas? yeah, sure you can. great. where's your gift? uh... whew. [ male announcer ] break from the holiday stress. ship fedex express [ maby december 22nd break from the holiday stress. for christmas delivery. >>> auto make irmaker sales for rise as consumers in the northeast replaced vehicles damaged or lost to hurricane sandy. sales also likely boosted by pent up demand. joining us is paul taylor at the national automobile dealers association. paul, good morning to you. how much of this demand rise are we going to see will be sandy rebound from sandy and actually real demand? >> we have low interest rates and old cars on the road. so a lot of the demand is real demand. but the other thing is that all the check
shopping season is going so far. we know that those november retail sales reflected sandy and some other one-time issues. what do you think really is happening behind the scenes in terms of what's happening for holiday shopping? >> well, i think it's the same story every year. the promotions start early, black friday's always a big weekend, this year was no different, and it depends on who you listen to nrf was very optimistic about the estimates, gallup was not so much, and then the sandy-related numbers. there are clear winners and losers here. it's the sandy blameathon, clearly, but some of the winners and losers walmart and limited. >> walmart and limited. who do you think is in trouble. we saw gap shares down by 7%. is that a reflection of the dividend they won't be paying or the special dividend. is there something more with what's going on with stores there? >> well, i think everybody's nervous now, certainly. again, after you saw the tough numbers in november, the question is, do retailers get nervous? do they press the pedal in terms of more and more promotions? gap yesterday wa
my number. say add it up to $4 trillion for me. >> that's a good point. >> tom, right after sandy, a couple weeks ago or three weeks eeg y ago you were talking about sandy being twice the size of katrina but the wind speeds weren't as much and it wasn't going to affect all state. did you see christie and cuomo? are those real numbers? is that what they'd like to see from the feds or is it worse than what you thought on november 1st? itz's worse than what we thought out. it will cost us 1 billion 75 doll lars. it is a significant event. it's significant flooding. that's not typically konked by us but by the government if you buy their policy. unfortunately very few people buy coverage. so unfort flatly there's a bunch of people whose homes got wrecked and that's what cuomo and christie are seeking. our government has a hit of going back to the state and saying, sorry you didn't buy insurance, here's some money and they'll do it again. they're trying to negotiate as to how much they get. >> allstate's ceo tom wilson. we appreciate your time. >> thank you. >>> when we return, we'll h
in the northeast weren't doing much car shopping. the second half had to be on fire. sandy may have been the singest biggest car destroyer since katrina. or maybe more, given the fact that so many imparted cars were damaged near the cox of the region's rivers. tuesday morning we hear from the brothers toll. here's the best home builder in the country go. ing to tell you the story of the boom. if you remember there was a time when bob toll of toll brothers and eagles fan came on "mad money" during what turned out to be the early part of the housing collapse. he said he saw the light at the end of the tunnel. but it was most like lit light of an on-coming train. those days are gladly behind us. i suspect the toll tells a story that it goes down the fiscal cliff monday. every day is fiscal cliff tuesday, wednesday, thursday. you get the picture. anyway, you should pull the trigger here to buy it here if the fiscal cliff does what i'm afraid of. brown foreman reports wednesday. this is an interesting one. why? because goldman downgraded it to sell. just last night. i've seen this movie. they
liquidators to find out if increased home sales and efforts to rebuild after hurricane sandy could drive it higher. all coming up on "mad money." >>> don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer on twitter. have a question? tweet cramer. #madtweets. send jim an e-mail to or give us a call at 1-800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to [ male announcer ] what can you experience in a seat? inspiration. great power. iconic design. exhilarating performance. [ race announcer ] audi once again has created le mans history! [ male announcer ] and once in a great while... all of the above. take your seat in the incomparable audi a8. take advantage of exceptional values on the audi a8 during the season of audi event. >>> here in the united states, we're sitting on titanic amounts of energy that's both cheaper and cleaner than coal or oil, talking about natural gas. but we end up burning off millions of cubic feet of it a day because we don't have enough demand since our government refuses to support embracing nat gas for service vehicles. while we probabl
chief, speaking this morning. >> some important comments. hurricane sandy was directly in his district so he made some comments about it. he said that the damage was worse than first anticipated. that's something we've been talking a lot about. original number was $50 billion. it's in the $70 billion to $90 billion range. it is probably going to shave a quarter to half a point off gdp. you talked about the fiscal cliff which he says congress and the president must address. he says because we're at the zero balance, interest rates were zero, the effect of the fiscal cliff is getting much worse than if the fed were not at zero. >> because they could do something. >> the only positive thing which dudley did not talk about but it is something that's on the radar is that, as the fiscal cliff fears rise, interest rates fall on the 10-year. so the effect the fed would have from easing is already in -- already happening as a market reaction. >> steve, thank you. >>> when jeff kilburg is not fired up about the irish he is fired up about what mr. dudley said today. why? >> absolutely. he came ou
a hurricane sandy event. the beginning of the month was terrible, the back end of the month was good, but it wasn't enough to make up for what they witnessed the first part of the month. i think you buy this on weakness. >> let's get to kate kelly. she has some news. what's the latest? >> melissa, the sac staff called, a second of its kind in two weeks just wrapped up a short time ago. it lasted less than half an hour. in it, sec management sought to reassure their employees. they have more than 1,000 people they employ. they wanted to reassure employees that steve cohen, a, has though plans to retire contrary to some talk out there today. two, that he is not personally entangled in this current government investigation. well, rather in the current government complaint over insider trading allegations against a former trader as well as one of sac's subsidiary units. there was talk that he may be charged in the coming months, but the staff has reassured them it'sed a rye s ed advisers that chargcharg charged along with a doctor who allegedly provided information to this insider. not c
, because of sandy. so i think in the meantime, until we get a resolution, i've said before, i think you're going to be in a trading range. and i think into the strength of the market, you want to take some off, never bad to have some cash. but on these pullbacks, i think you want to be buying, because i actually think the economy is getting better, particularly when you look at housing, consumer, even auto and aerospace, all those data points point to 2013. >> are you buying the market on any pullback? >> i like the santa claus rally with josh and would be raising cash. i think the risk in the markets further on the down side than the up side. but when you see some real pullbacks, buy the stock if you like it. >> morgan stanley's top market watcher has been bearish all year and not ready to change his mind. adam parker joins us live. welcome back to halftime. good to see you. >> how are you, scott? >> 1167 is where you thought we would be at the end of the year. you'll be far short. why aren't you willing to change your tune for 2013, because you're not looking for much next year. >> lo
of things. sandy continues to make me feel these numbers are too difficult. i find them unfathomable. the speech is about way too much unemployment and very unfathomable in terms of the actual destruction. you got numbers from two different governors. they are unusually low. i don't trust any number during this period. >> especially the number we'll get a week from today which estimates for nonfarm are not that good. 75 maybe. sandy will continue to ring in our ears for the next few weeks. >> and then i believe you're going to get when you get supplies rebuilt and enough bricks and enough lumber. did you see that lumber hit a six-year high yesterday. >> wow. >> copper. a lot of people talking about short buy on copper. everyone saying it's about china. a lot of copper comes from scrap and the scrap in the northeast where there's a huge amount of copper, it's extraordinary. a lot of equipment is stalled. >> think of the copper wires here downtown eroded because of exposure to salt water that need to be replaced. >> when i hear the things that have been thrown away, the 500,000 cases o
's needed in the wake of hurricane sandy. can't get this stuff to america fast enough. united states fast enough. thanks to the strength of the economy, the increasing volumes with declining costs. the gross margins are expanding, how much do we love that in a rail? however, only affects about 18% of kansas city southern's revenues. they do have some coal exposure, something that's crushed a great many railroads, we know that because we have backed away because of the coal. but they have something the other railroads don't have, consistently high growth, not that low single digit stuff and not susceptible to the cyclical nature of coal or the ongoing war between natural gas and coal in the fight to be fuel for american utilities. and that's why i'm naming it my new favorite railroad. even over and above union pacific, which is always been my favorite. don't get mad at me, union pacific. i used a great union pacific calendar, but it's december. that one's off the wall. anyway -- kansas city southern also saw some exposure to the bakken shale. they found so much oil, they need to ship it vi
it have it will be explainable by superstorm sandy. i think a lot of it is pulling back. you've seen the capital investment. >> we have to move on but i have to push back on one thing. are we talking about two different things? when we got downgraded the market went down hard. more than a trillion in value. >> but the market price. the market came right back and actually went to new highs not that long after that. once the knee jerk reaction was done. the market is being sensitized to it right now. and that's a good thing. >>> two companies that issued special dividends ahead of the fiscal cliff and if you're keeping score at home that's 103 companies thus far this quarter valued at more than $22 billion. so we see this continued parade of companies just coming out and issuing special dividends whether it's by debt, with debt, or cash on the balance sheet. >> the big one there, scott, is costco. last week when costco made the announcement, it was up 5%, almost 7% on the news. oracle moves their dividends up and the stock is flat to down on the day. coach announces a special dividend.
the aftereffects of superstorm sandy, accommodative policy by the fed and you think that spurs growth in the u.s. how strong will it be? >> first thing, we have grown 2.5% in the last four quarters. and i think we will go up to 3% growth next year. i think there is some fiscal tightening but that is nothing new. we are getting rapid money growth and record-low mortgage rates, drop in gas prices, drop in the dollar, lower inflation boosting income and it's working because we are getting more parts of the economy gearing. a year ago we had no bank lending and now we have a full year of it. in addition to that, i think next year's profile will be much more impacted by what happens in the emerging world if they pick up again than what is going on in washington. >> i would differ significantly in terms of where we are headed and the recommendation for investors. first, this is the slowest recovery we have had with the sharpness of the recession we had in 2008, 2009. very different from the early 1980s. second, germany, including the rest of the european union seems to be going into a recession and
friday's gdp indicated that it had decelerated to 1.4%. incomes are flat and hurricane sandy shut down the northeast for days and in some cases for weeks. even though we have had positive numbers from companies like home dep depot, the group would be flat lining. yet that hasn't been happening. it is shown by the rth, the market vectovector's retail num. it has been showing very well. that is why tonight we are going off the charts with the help of ed ponzi. my colleague at, we have to learn what the charts are seeing. if you remember, one of the reasons why i went back to ed. he is the guy who nailed it and went against the grain in europe. right before the decision on the european bailout. and according to him, according to a guy who went against the grain then and was right. when you look at the market based on the markets, retail might be the most attractive area to own in this whole market. look, look at this daily chart of the rth. this is it. excellent proxy for the whole group. it does work. you can see from the year earlier in october. november 21st, this is the
shopping season. superstorm sandy knocking the wind out of consumers up and down the east coast. joining us to talk about the retail sector is davidberman, founder of hedge fund derden capital. thank you for coming in today. it is great to have you here. we looked at the retail numbers yesterday. and a lot of companies were saying it was just superstorm sandy. it shut down the stores in some cases or kept consumers at bay. how do you think we will fare to the holidays? >> yesterday was big day for retail. those that roar yesterday, genuinely speaking had poor numbers. we knew it was the hurricane. we knew it would be weak. you know. it was supposed to be adjusted in the expectations. numbers came in way below expectations. some of the stocks got hammered, macy's, kohl's. we are trying to make sense of what that means. we when you go through each retailer in the numbers, really the first half -- businesses really slowed. first two weeks. anything we think of, not the hurricane itself. must have been the concern, you know, about the hurricane and people watching tv. people focused on that. al
important jobs report of the century. this is a squirrelly one in part because we have the sandy effect in there and i think joe's right, there is going to be to an extent a sandy effect in there. i just want to show you first the claims chart. this is the chart we've been putting up every week since hurricane sandy came through and the pattern of sandy jobless claims relative to katrina. if we don't have that chart -- there it is, great. it goes up and now we're in the down. it may pop back. but the trouble is that the big surge there is probably in the week of -- or is going to affect the week of the employment survey. >> the last week. >> and now, guys, if you have the next one back there, i don't know if you have it, you can see there what we show there is we're looking for only 80,000 jobs on friday. 95 in the private sector. that's a big jobs -- it might be hurricane related, but it could also be cliff related. there's these two things just backing up what joe said, folks, we've got enough to worry about without the stuff that we could probably fix and move on, there's enough goin
that portrait last week. >> billy joel was quite a hero in the concert for sandy. he looked great and he sounded great. >> if i don't like billy joel, i'm done. >> caller: what's your opinion on plcn, polycom? >> we don't want to be in anything i regard as video and voice because you'll be competing against the giant that is cisco! >> glen in illinois, please. again? >> caller: i'd like to thank you on your excellent insight into jobs in general. >> my stock has been up at past eight trading days and i was wondering if this was any case the stocks were to pop. cldx is the prop. don't know why it's up. got to come back. sorry. could be a could good expectation. >> all my florida calls are so -- what do you got? you got this guy mr. social meaning he knows how to use social media better than anyone i've ever seen. >> stephanie lake, we were talking, i said this is right now one of my absolute favorite stocks between now and when this deal closes, underrated, so smart, it will do 14, what he has done for coffee! let's go to john in colorado. >> hi, jim. i'd like to give a big booya. >> we got anoth
here, sandy was terrible. that will subtract from growth. we also have the little twinkie strike which is something that everybody's worried about, so that will subtract. so when you net all those things out, you'll probably get a number closer to 90,000. but when you net those things out, you know in future months you'll get more growth. 2 pch 2.7, a lot was inventory based. so economic growth probably gets weaker. but as the rebuilding takes prar place, the strike resolved, no jobs no doubt. >> so in the meantime we go back above 8%? >> i think there's a chance that you can touch 8%, but i think you'll stay somewhere near the 8% range. >> if you had to make a prediction like i did, i had to make a prediction for where unemployment would be a year from now. i said somewhere in the 7s. >> i think by the end of next year you'll get a near somewhere in the neighborhood of 7.4, 7.5. still in the 7s. because again, we are going to glow next year something close to 2% and probably a little bit below that. that's not consistent with a huge deceleration of the unemployment rate. >> unless the
coming back. amazon is just a winner here particularly in sandy. i regard google as making a comeback. i think that when you look at what -- apple fears google. google is going to do better going forward. look at facebook by the way. they figured out things. i'm not going to be -- i'm looking at stocks that once we go over the cliff bounce back and if we don't go over the cliff are where a lot of money is going. >> where does ulta, are these tier 2 names? >> ulta is -- david and i joke about this. it's the growth stock -- key to this market. gilliad has been great. same with ulta. you may laugh at ulta. i won't finish my sentence. >> i may. >> this double the store thing is what whole foods says. any time you can double stores, growth guys just love it. >> we're told there's no concern if we go over the fiscal cliff that that will result in some sort of a chill in the housing recovery offer the housing market. this harvard study that bob toll cited, 1.8 to 2.8 million households fewer since 2007 were formed and that's playing catchup. we should have the formation of those households unro
. could have something to do with superstorm sandy. weak in yesterday's third quarter gdp report. profits, and these are the broadest gdp profits, covering about 5 million large and small companies really came in pretty good in the third quarter. up 9% from a year ago. so even though business looks weak, good profits could be the backbone of the stock market despite the hysteria of the fiscal cliff. let's talk to don -- for all th hysteria, profits are rising, the economy has got pluses and minuses. i'm not sure people need to pay all that attention to the fiscal cliff. >> well, if you look at what the global stock markets are doing, they suggest that our market would be doing significantly better were it not for the fiscal cliff. now profits have been good. i think people are getting used to the idea they trust corporate ceos more than they trust those that print government bonds that aren't really worth as much by the time they mature. they're also seeing a yield compression around the world. if you look at corporate beyond yields, they're about half of where they were just a year ago.
, coupled with the fact we just came off of hurricane sandy, this is not the time to play games and taunt one another with these plans that everybody knows are not real plans. >> i agree, but i think we should look beyond one year's growth. we're talking about growth through 2050. the gentleman pretending to know he knows the growth rate between now and 2050 -- >> he gets paid to make predictions, steve. that's what he's doing. by the way, his former predictions have been right. let's give him that. >> some of them have been right. there was a guy in the 19th century who predicted we were all going to starve as he predicted the proplatiopulation of the world with but forgot to predict the agricultural technology. you can't hold one constant and let the other variable be a variable. >> right now this country is focusing on policies that continue to predistribute from the most productive members to those that may be more favorable. that's his point, that we've continued to lose momentum for the past several decades and continuing to implement those same policies that are going to undermine
due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back in a moment. are system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where i'm from. and tools to estimate what my care may cost. so i never missed a beat. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for more than 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. with the spark cash card from capital one, sven gets great rewards for his small business! how does this thing work? oh, i like it! [ garth ] sven's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! woo-hoo!!! so that's ten security gators, right? put them on my spark card! why settle for
is stable. post-sandy now reservations have come back from these airlines. there was a lot of worry of cancellations. >> because a lot of families still have not recovered from that. there was a thought that would be a much longer lag. >> bookings have returned to normal. that's key. >> kenny pulkari is here. there's no recipe. >> we might have to do takeout in the herrera household tonight. it's coming, guys, but it probably won't be here until tomorrow. you just have to wait. the market's kind of waiting, too. it's all on washington. i was impressed with yesterday the market was able to hold on to an advance in the face of apple. i think that boded pretty well. >> well, i think that's true but i think apple is a situation and issue unto itself. right? certainly it affects -- you saw what it did to the nasdaq yesterday. but for the broader market i think it does say a lot for the strength of the broader market in terms what have it wants to see. it wants to see the resolution. whether apple goes up or down. if we get a resolution of the fiscal cliff or the sense that we will, i thi
, moves to the upper 50s, it's digesting the negativity surrounding sandy and its geographic location well. they've got the cash in hand to fund this. this is a solid company. >> dennis gould is sitting at 1700, not talking about a special dividend here but is it going to pay dividends to own gold? >> i think owning gold in dollars has been a bad trade for a while. i'm bullish for gold in non-u.s. dollar terms, in yen terms and if you own gold in yen terms over the course of the last two months you are profitable. somebody owns gold in dollar terms is down several points. gold is nothing more than another currency, crossed against other currencies and there's nothing spectacular about gold, it's just a currency. >> call it a slick slide for oil, crude falling 2% nearing its lowest level in three weeks. for more let's go to jackie deangelis, the host of "futures now." >> crude having a tough day, the question is why. look at this chart dollar strength is causing major pain for oil, our question today is there more to selling than just the dollar rally? let's start talking futures now. rich,
/2 minute's time. jobless claims coming in, down and this number should be essentially clean of sandy effects, so finally a clean read as to the claims aspect. but it doesn't look like, jim, that we are set for a lower open today. >> carl pointed out that maybe there's some room between sides. but, look, yesterday was one of those days, show a lot of americans don't even know about the fiscal cliff. paychecks are going to go down, a million layoffs in the defense industry. no one seems to care right now. it's bad. >> you know what we have going for us? the grid, december 17 announced -- on a seasonal basis, they have reiterated once again that it doesn't have the demand to be sold year round, but starting a week from monday. >> i don't buy that. i think they do it because whenever they have mcrib, they're just fighting traffic for mcrib. there are places in the world where the mcrib is on the menu all the time. in case you're there on your vacation. >> i'm learning here all the time. i'm always learning. >> switch from the bacon cheese-inator. [ bell rings ] . >> celebrating the groun
know it will be worse than it would have been because of super storm sandy. so you didn't know how much it was to do with that and how much was the economy. so it will be a bit of a wash in terms of reading the tea leaves for the u.s. >> so the growth picture for the u.s., we sort of 1%, 2%, depending on what happens with the fiscal cliff. what do you think, 2.5%? >> yeah, i think we should be 2.5% to 3% by the end of next year. >> which might be a slightly better outturn. china seems to be back on track. is there anything in europe -- what's the tail risk at the moment? >> i think there's two things that could still go wrong in europe. one, there's always political risk. in italy, you do have elections coming up. there's a chance getting a higher share than people anticipate. but even then, the financial forces are going to force any government that comes into power to more or less stick to the plan morsi set out. on the other hand, there's always spain, the worries that with 25% unemployment, that you would see the default rate particularly on residential mortgages shoot up, it's 3% n
discussions in washington? >> probably not. we got the big distortions from san sandy. slowly working through that. so i think if there's an outlier, investors will yawn and wait for the big nonfarm payroll report tomorrow. >> are we comfortable mf-i don't know how comfortable we are. consumers seem to be in better fettl eflt. >> in spite of this anemic job growth that we've had during the entire jobless recovery, it seems like consumers sense the -- their balance sheets have improved pretty dramatically. so, yeah, consumers -- and that's led to consumers spending slightly more than what experts thought they would spend. >> so you're overweight large cap versus small cap. why? >> the large cap u.s. multinationals, they typically have overseas subsidiaries that can reach into the emerging pockets of growth. i like the dividends payers, as well, because in these choppy markets which we'll continue to have get nice dividends. >> all right much ha. . have a good day. that's it for today's program. "squawk box" it is next. ♪ [ male announcer ] how could a luminous protein in jellyfish, impact li
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